Manchester City host AEK Athens at the Etihad in Champions League

Manchester City host AEK Athens at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester on October 20 in the UEFA Champions League, with kickoff at 15:00 ET. Manchester City and AEK Athens both have 3 points in the standings. According to GOAL, City will be without Erling Haaland, who is being rested after limping off against Ipswich Town. Haaland has 4 Champions League goals this season for Manchester City. Manchester City still carry an 87% no-margin win probability.

When and where is Manchester City vs AEK Athens?

Manchester City host AEK Athens at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester on October 20. Manchester City's kickoff against AEK Athens is set for 15:00 ET, which DAZN lists as 8pm BST. The fixture counts toward the UEFA Champions League standings.

GOAL notes the game will be Manchester City's 150th European match. Manchester City and AEK Athens both carry a 1-0-1 record and 3 points, so the match gives either club a chance to move clear of the other in a crowded group.

How have Manchester City and AEK Athens played recently?

Manchester City beat Norwich City 5-0, Sunderland 5-3 and Liverpool 3-0 in their earlier results. Manchester City then lost 4-2 to Paris Saint-Germain, and Manchester City beat Ipswich Town 3-2.

AEK Athens beat LASK Linz 1-0 in the Champions League, drew 1-1 with Asteras Tripoli, beat Volos NFC 2-1 and beat OFI Crete 3-0. AEK Athens then lost 3-1 to Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League, according to GOAL. AEK Athens have 5 draws and 11 losses in Champions League away games, according to GOAL.

Who is missing for Manchester City?

According to GOAL, Manchester City will be without Erling Haaland, who is rested after limping off against Ipswich Town. GOAL also reports that Semenyo is doubtful with a knee injury and O'Reilly is out with a back problem.

GOAL adds that Kovačić and Nunes were substituted because of injuries against Ipswich Town, and that Foden will act as a false nine in Haaland's place. City's expected lineup includes Donnarumma, Khusanov and Dias, while AEK Athens are expected to start Brignoli, Rota and Moukoudi.

Which players and numbers matter for Manchester City vs AEK Athens?

Haaland has 4 goals in 2 matches for Manchester City. Manchester City have 4 total goals, 4 assists and 4 goals against.

For AEK Athens, Razvan Marin has 1 goal in 2 matches. AEK Athens have 2 total goals, 1 assist and 3 goals against, with a goal difference of -1. DAZN describes Marin as a key player with a set-piece threat, and GOAL says Jović and Varga have 4 league goals for AEK Athens but none in the Champions League.

What are Manchester City's chances against AEK Athens?

The no-margin probability gives Manchester City 87%, a draw 8% and AEK Athens 5%. These figures describe estimated likelihoods for the match and nothing more. Manchester City are the home side at the Etihad Stadium, while AEK Athens carry the weaker away record noted by GOAL in this competition.

GOAL notes that Manchester City conceded 4 against Paris Saint-Germain and 2 against Ipswich Town, so AEK Athens will look for openings even as the underdog in this estimate.

The numbers at Scorely

Market-implied probability with the bookmaker margin (4.8%) removed, calculated by Scorely.

Data source: ESPN; calculation and table by Scorely.