AEK Athens v Real Madrid
UEFA Champions LeagueWed 4 Nov · 17:45
Who wins?
AEK Athens
12%
Draw
16%
Real Madrid
73%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 3.5: 52% · pays 5/6 · Under 3.5: 48% · pays 18/19
Both teams to score: 59% · pays 4/7
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
AEK Athens host Real Madrid on Wednesday, 4 November 2026 at 17:45 (UK time) at OPAP Arena in the Champions League.
AEK Athens sit 29th on 3 points.
Real Madrid sit 4th on 9 points.
AEK Athens have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 2 meetings: AEK Athens won 0, Real Madrid won 0, 2 drawn.
- Competition
- UEFA Champions League
- Kick-off
- Wednesday, 4 November 2026, 17:45 (UK time)
- Venue
- OPAP Arena, Athens
Preview in numbers
- United Kingdom time: 17:45 (UK time), Wednesday 4 November 2026.
- AEK Athens have 3 wins and 2 defeats from their last 5.
- Real Madrid have won their last 5.
- Real Madrid sit 4th on 9 points and AEK Athens 29th on 3: 6 points apart.
- Their last meeting, on 22 Oct 2002, finished Real Madrid 2-2 AEK Athens.
- The market gives Real Madrid a 73% chance of winning (draw: 16%), margin removed.
Data: ESPN · votes and picks from Scorely users
Odds movement
Opening → NowAEK Athens
13/2 → 7/1
+6.7%
Draw
19/4 → 5/1
+4.3%
Real Madrid
4/13 → 3/10
−0.7%
Over 3.5: 5/6 → 5/6 = · Under 3.5: 10/11 → 18/19 +2.1%
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · AEK Athens | X · Draw | 2 · Real Madrid | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 6/1 | 5/1 | 1/3 | 6.1% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 9/4 | 1/8 | 1/10 | 11.0% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/10 | 6/1 | 5.2% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/3 | 12/5 | 4.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/7 | 5/4 | 8.1% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | AEK Athens -0.25 | Real Madrid +0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 5/1 | 3/13 | -2.0% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | AEK Athens 0 | Real Madrid 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 19/4 | 1/7 | 5.1% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
AEK Athens
28%
No goal
3%
Real Madrid
68%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 3% |
| 1 | 10% |
| 2 | 16% |
| 3 | 20% |
| 4 | 19% |
| 5 | 15% |
| 6+ | 17% |
Total goals: odd/even
Odd
49%
Even
51%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 4.5
17%
Under 4.5
83%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 0.5
90%
Under 0.5
10%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 5.5
10%
Under 5.5
90%
Team total goals · AEK Athens
Over 1.5
29%
Under 1.5
71%
Team total goals · AEK Athens
Over 2.5
13%
Under 2.5
88%
Team total goals · AEK Athens
Over 0.5
62%
Under 0.5
38%
Exact team goals · AEK Athens
| 0 | 35% |
| 1 | 36% |
| 2 | 19% |
| 3 | 7% |
| 4+ | 3% |
Exact team goals · Real Madrid
| 0 | 7% |
| 1 | 18% |
| 2 | 25% |
| 3 | 23% |
| 4+ | 28% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
26%
No
74%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
35%
No
66%
Clean sheet · Real Madrid
Yes
37%
No
63%
Clean sheet · AEK Athens
Yes
9%
No
91%
1st half result
AEK Athens
16%
Draw
30%
Real Madrid
54%
2nd half result
AEK Athens
15%
Draw
27%
Real Madrid
57%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
49%
Under 1.5
51%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
79%
Under 0.5
21%
To score in the 1st half · Real Madrid
Yes
68%
No
32%
To score in the 1st half · AEK Athens
Yes
38%
No
63%
To score in the 2nd half · Real Madrid
Yes
76%
No
24%
To score in the 2nd half · AEK Athens
Yes
44%
No
56%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Betting calculatorsConvert odds and work out implied probability, accumulators and arbs in seconds.Calculate →Last 5 matches
AEK Athens
Real Madrid
Head-to-head record
0
AEK Athens
2
Draws
0
Real Madrid
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 2 |  Aston Villa | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 9 | WWW |
| 3 |  Liverpool | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWW |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 9 | WWWWW |
| 5 |  Betis | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 9 | WWW |
| 6 |  Stuttgart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 | WWD |
| 7 |  Arsenal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 7 | WWD |
| 8 |  Barcelona | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WWL |
| 9 |  Como | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 6 | WLW |
| 10 |  Man City | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 | WLW |
| 11 |  Club Brugge | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | LWW |
| 12 |  Sporting | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 | WWL |
| 13 |  Dortmund | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | WLW |
| 14 |  Bayern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 5 | WDD |
| 15 |  AS Roma | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | DLW |
| 16 |  Atlético | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | LWD |
| 17 |  Shakhtar | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | DWL |
| 18 |  PSV | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | DLW |
| 19 |  Villarreal | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | LWL |
| 20 |  Inter Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | LLW |
| 21 |  Man Utd | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 | WLL |
| 22 |  Napoli | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 3 | LLW |
| 23 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 24 |  LASK Linz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LLW |
| 25 |  Sabah | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 | LWL |
| 26 |  Feyenoord | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | LWL |
| 27 |  Lens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -4 | 3 | WLL |
| 28 |  Bodo/Glimt | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 29 |  AEK Athens | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | WWLLW |
| 30 |  RB Leipzig | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5 | 3 | LWL |
| 31 |  Fenerbahce | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | 2 | DLD |
| 32 |  Slavia Prague | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 1 | LLD |
| 33 |  Viking FK | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 1 | LDL |
| 34 |  FC Porto | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 0 | LLL |
| 35 |  Lille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -6 | 0 | LLL |
| 36 |  S Bratislava | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -12 | 0 | LLL |
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real Madrid and +1.5 goals
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
0 votes
FAQ
What time does AEK Athens v Real Madrid start?
AEK Athens v Real Madrid (Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November at 17:45 (UK time) at OPAP Arena.
Where are AEK Athens and Real Madrid in the table?
AEK Athens are 29th on 3 points and Real Madrid 4th on 9.
Who is the favourite in AEK Athens v Real Madrid?
The market favourite is Real Madrid. Probability without the bookmaker margin: AEK Athens 12 %, the draw 16 % and Real Madrid 73 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between AEK Athens and Real Madrid?
In their last 2 meetings: AEK Athens won 0, Real Madrid won 0 and 2 ended level.
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