Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano
Who wins?
Real Sociedad
53%
Draw
24%
Rayo
23%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 2.5: 57% · pays 11/17 · Under 2.5: 43% · pays 6/5
Both teams to score: 59% · pays 10/17
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Real Sociedad host Rayo Vallecano on Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 15:15 (UK time) at Reale Arena in LaLiga.
Real Sociedad sit 5th on 19 points.
Rayo Vallecano sit 11th on 12 points.
Real Sociedad have 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Real Sociedad won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 2, 2 drawn.
- Competition
- LaLiga
- Kick-off
- Sunday, 8 November 2026, 15:15 (UK time)
- Venue
- Reale Arena, San Sebastian
Odds movement
Opening → NowReal Sociedad
5/6 → 4/5
−1.8%
Draw
11/4 → 56/19
+5.3%
Rayo
37/13 → 31/10
+6.5%
Over 2.5: 11/17 → 11/17 = · Under 2.5: 15/13 → 6/5 +2.3%
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Real Sociedad | X · Draw | 2 · Rayo | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 8/11 | 14/5 | 10/3 | 7.2% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/5 | 1/4 | 20/19 | 12.1% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/5 | 7/2 | 5.6% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/3 | 6/5 | 5.3% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/3 | 11/10 | 7.5% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Real Sociedad 0 | Rayo 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 6/19 | 23/10 | 6.1% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Real Sociedad +0.25 | Rayo -0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 5/19 | 17/12 | 20.7% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Real Sociedad
57%
No goal
6%
Rayo Vallecano
37%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 6% |
| 1 | 16% |
| 2 | 21% |
| 3 | 22% |
| 4 | 16% |
| 5 | 11% |
| 6+ | 8% |
Team total goals · Real Sociedad
Over 1.5
55%
Under 1.5
45%
Team total goals · Real Sociedad
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
Team total goals · Real Sociedad
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
86%
Team total goals · Real Sociedad
Over 0.5
82%
Under 0.5
18%
Team total goals · Rayo Vallecano
Over 1.5
34%
Under 1.5
66%
Team total goals · Rayo Vallecano
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
Team total goals · Rayo Vallecano
Over 0.5
67%
Under 0.5
33%
Exact team goals · Real Sociedad
| 0 | 16% |
| 1 | 29% |
| 2 | 28% |
| 3 | 17% |
| 4+ | 11% |
Exact team goals · Rayo Vallecano
| 0 | 30% |
| 1 | 36% |
| 2 | 22% |
| 3 | 9% |
| 4+ | 4% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
24%
No
76%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
33%
No
67%
Clean sheet · Real Sociedad
Yes
32%
No
68%
Clean sheet · Rayo Vallecano
Yes
18%
No
83%
Correct score
| 1-1 | 10% |
| 2-1 | 10% |
| 1-0 | 9% |
| 2-0 | 8% |
| 1-2 | 6% |
| 3-1 | 6% |
| 2-2 | 6% |
| 0-1 | 6% |
| 3-0 | 5% |
| 0-0 | 5% |
| 3-2 | 4% |
| 0-2 | 3% |
| 1-3 | 3% |
| 2-3 | 3% |
| 3-3 | 2% |
| 0-3 | 1% |
1st half result
Real Sociedad
40%
Draw
39%
Rayo Vallecano
22%
2nd half result
Real Sociedad
42%
Draw
35%
Rayo Vallecano
24%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
38%
Under 1.5
62%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
8%
Under 3.5
92%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
71%
Under 0.5
29%
To score in the 1st half · Real Sociedad
Yes
55%
No
45%
To score in the 1st half · Rayo Vallecano
Yes
40%
No
60%
To score in the 2nd half · Real Sociedad
Yes
63%
No
37%
To score in the 2nd half · Rayo Vallecano
Yes
49%
No
51%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano
Head-to-head record
1
Real Sociedad
2
Draws
2
Rayo
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | +34 | 30 | WWLW |
| 2 |  Atlético | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +14 | 28 | WWWW |
| 3 |  Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | +15 | 24 | WWW |
| 4 |  Betis | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 23 | WLDW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 19 | WDWWW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 17 | DLWL |
| 7 |  Athletic | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 | DLWD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 12 | LDWL |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | DWDL |
| 10 |  Alavés | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 12 | LLDL |
| 11 |  Rayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 12 | DDLWW |
| 12 |  Getafe | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 12 | LDLW |
| 13 |  Deportivo | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 | LDL |
| 14 |  Espanyol | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -1 | 11 | DLLW |
| 15 |  Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 11 | LWL |
| 16 |  Racing | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -11 | 11 | DLW |
| 17 |  Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3 | 10 | DDW |
| 18 |  Levante | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 10 | DDWLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 6 | DDL |
| 20 |  Málaga | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -13 | 5 | DLDL |
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Double chance : Real Sociedad or draw
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
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FAQ
What time does Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano start?
Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano (LaLiga) kicks off on Sunday 8 November at 15:15 (UK time) at Reale Arena.
Where are Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano in the table?
Real Sociedad are 5th on 19 points and Rayo Vallecano 11th on 12.
Who is the favourite in Real Sociedad v Rayo Vallecano?
The market favourite is Real Sociedad. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Real Sociedad 53 %, the draw 24 % and Rayo Vallecano 23 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Sociedad and Rayo Vallecano?
In their last 5 meetings: Real Sociedad won 1, Rayo Vallecano won 2 and 2 ended level.
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