Real Madrid v Celta Vigo
LaLiga
Who wins?
Real Madrid
79%
Draw
14%
Celta Vigo
8%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 3.5: 48% · pays 18/19 · Under 3.5: 52% · pays 4/5
Both teams to score: 50% · pays 7/8
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Scorely prediction
Scorely model + marketWinner
Real Madrid 69 % · pays 1/5
Both teams to score
No 62 % · pays 7/8
Value: we rate it above the odds
Goals
Under 3.5 68 % · pays 4/5
Value: we rate it above the odds
Confidence
Medium
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Winner hit rate across all leagues, last 30 days: 63% (187 games).
18+ · Play responsibly.
Real Madrid host Celta Vigo on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 20:00 (UK time) at Santiago Bernabéu in LaLiga.
Real Madrid sit 2nd on 30 points.
Celta Vigo sit 11th on 13 points.
Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Celta Vigo have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Real Madrid won 4, Celta Vigo won 1, 0 drawn.
- Competition
- LaLiga
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 21 November 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
- Venue
- Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid
Odds movement
Opening → NowReal Madrid
3/16 → 1/5
+0.8%
Draw
6/1 → 6/1
=
Celta Vigo
10/1 → 11/1
+9.1%
Over 3.5: 18/19 → 18/19 = · Under 3.5: 4/5 → 4/5 =
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Real Madrid | X · Draw | 2 · Celta Vigo | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/5 | 21/4 | 12/1 | 7.0% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/20 | 1/8 | 10/3 | 8.5% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/9 | 11/2 | 5.5% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/5 | 2/1 | 4.8% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 18/19 | 4/5 | 6.8% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Real Madrid +0.5 | Celta Vigo -0.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/20 | 10/3 | 19.2% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Real Madrid
74%
No goal
4%
Celta Vigo
22%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 3% |
| 1 | 11% |
| 2 | 18% |
| 3 | 21% |
| 4 | 19% |
| 5 | 14% |
| 6+ | 15% |
Team total goals · Celta Vigo
Over 1.5
20%
Under 1.5
80%
Team total goals · Celta Vigo
Over 0.5
52%
Under 0.5
48%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 4.5
19%
Under 4.5
81%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 0.5
90%
Under 0.5
10%
Team total goals · Real Madrid
Over 5.5
11%
Under 5.5
89%
Exact team goals · Real Madrid
| 0 | 6% |
| 1 | 17% |
| 2 | 23% |
| 3 | 23% |
| 4+ | 31% |
Exact team goals · Celta Vigo
| 0 | 46% |
| 1 | 36% |
| 2 | 13% |
| 3 | 4% |
| 4+ | 1% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
21%
No
79%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
28%
No
72%
Clean sheet · Celta Vigo
Yes
9%
No
91%
Clean sheet · Real Madrid
Yes
48%
No
52%
1st half result
Real Madrid
59%
Draw
30%
Celta Vigo
11%
2nd half result
Real Madrid
63%
Draw
26%
Celta Vigo
12%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
47%
Under 1.5
54%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
89%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
78%
Under 0.5
22%
To score in the 1st half · Celta Vigo
Yes
29%
No
71%
To score in the 1st half · Real Madrid
Yes
71%
No
30%
To score in the 2nd half · Celta Vigo
Yes
35%
No
65%
To score in the 2nd half · Real Madrid
Yes
77%
No
23%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid
0
Draws
1
Celta Vigo
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | F/A | GD | Pts | W | D | L | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 1 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 2 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Atlético | 12 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 2 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Betis | 12 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 2 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 4 | DLWLD |
| 7 |  Athletic | 11 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | LWWDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5 | LDWLW |
| 9 |  Deportivo | 12 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 3 | LDLWD |
| 10 |  Racing | 12 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 3 | DLLDW |
| 12 |  Alavés | 12 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | DLLWD |
| 14 |  Rayo | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5 | DLWLD |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | LDLWL |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 5 | DWLLD |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 7 | DDLWL |
| 20 |  Málaga | 12 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | DLDLL |
QualificationRelegationP: PlayedW: WonD: DrawnL: LostF: Goals forA: Goals againstGD: Goal differencePts: Points
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Combo Winner : Real Madrid and -3.5 goals
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
0 votes
Fri 20 Nov
Sat 21 Nov
Sun 22 Nov
Barcelona
Villarreal4/1711/29/1FAQ
What time does Real Madrid v Celta Vigo start?
Real Madrid v Celta Vigo (LaLiga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November at 20:00 (UK time) at Santiago Bernabéu.
Where are Real Madrid and Celta Vigo in the table?
Real Madrid are 2nd on 30 points and Celta Vigo 11th on 13.
Who is the favourite in Real Madrid v Celta Vigo?
The market favourite is Real Madrid. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Real Madrid 91 % and Celta Vigo 9 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo?
In their last 5 meetings: Real Madrid won 4, Celta Vigo won 1 and 0 ended level.
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