Rayo Vallecano v Valencia
LaLiga
Who wins?
Rayo
48%
Draw
27%
Valencia
25%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 2.5: 47% · pays 1/1 · Under 2.5: 53% · pays 10/13
Both teams to score: 52% · pays 4/5
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Scorely prediction
Scorely model + marketWinner
Rayo 45 % · pays 18/19
Both teams to score
No 52 % · pays 18/19
Value: we rate it above the odds
Goals
Under 2.5 58 % · pays 10/13
Value: we rate it above the odds
Confidence
Medium
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Winner hit rate across all leagues, last 30 days: 63% (147 games).
18+ · Play responsibly.
Rayo Vallecano host Valencia on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 15:15 (UK time) at Estadio de Vallecas in LaLiga.
Rayo Vallecano sit 14th on 12 points.
Valencia sit 19th on 9 points.
Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Valencia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Rayo Vallecano won 1, Valencia won 0, 4 drawn.
- Competition
- LaLiga
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 21 November 2026, 15:15 (UK time)
- Venue
- Estadio de Vallecas, Madrid
Odds movement
Opening → NowRayo
18/19 → 18/19
=
Draw
12/5 → 27/11
+1.5%
Valencia
11/4 → 14/5
+1.3%
Over 2.5: 18/19 → 1/1 +2.6% · Under 2.5: 10/13 → 10/13 =
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Rayo | X · Draw | 2 · Valencia | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 10/11 | 12/5 | 29/10 | 7.4% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/4 | 3/10 | 5/6 | 11.6% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/3 | 12/5 | 4.6% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/1 | 4/5 | 5.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 10/11 | 10/11 | 4.7% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Rayo 0 | Valencia 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/5 | 24/13 | 6.5% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Rayo +0.25 | Valencia -0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 6/19 | 6/5 | 21.2% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Rayo Vallecano
53%
No goal
9%
Valencia
37%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 8% |
| 1 | 20% |
| 2 | 24% |
| 3 | 21% |
| 4 | 14% |
| 5 | 8% |
| 6+ | 5% |
Team total goals · Valencia
Over 1.5
30%
Under 1.5
71%
Team total goals · Valencia
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
Team total goals · Valencia
Over 0.5
63%
Under 0.5
37%
Team total goals · Rayo Vallecano
Over 1.5
45%
Under 1.5
55%
Team total goals · Rayo Vallecano
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
Team total goals · Rayo Vallecano
Over 3.5
11%
Under 3.5
90%
Team total goals · Rayo Vallecano
Over 0.5
76%
Under 0.5
24%
Exact team goals · Rayo Vallecano
| 0 | 21% |
| 1 | 33% |
| 2 | 26% |
| 3 | 13% |
| 4+ | 7% |
Exact team goals · Valencia
| 0 | 34% |
| 1 | 36% |
| 2 | 20% |
| 3 | 7% |
| 4+ | 3% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
20%
No
80%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
27%
No
73%
Clean sheet · Valencia
Yes
23%
No
77%
Clean sheet · Rayo Vallecano
Yes
36%
No
64%
Correct score
| 1-1 | 12% |
| 1-0 | 11% |
| 2-1 | 9% |
| 2-0 | 8% |
| 0-1 | 8% |
| 0-0 | 8% |
| 1-2 | 6% |
| 2-2 | 5% |
| 3-1 | 5% |
| 3-0 | 4% |
| 0-2 | 4% |
| 3-2 | 3% |
| 1-3 | 2% |
| 2-3 | 2% |
| 0-3 | 2% |
| 3-3 | 1% |
1st half result
Rayo Vallecano
36%
Draw
42%
Valencia
22%
2nd half result
Rayo Vallecano
38%
Draw
38%
Valencia
24%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
32%
Under 1.5
68%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
13%
Under 2.5
87%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
66%
Under 0.5
34%
To score in the 1st half · Valencia
Yes
38%
No
63%
To score in the 1st half · Rayo Vallecano
Yes
49%
No
51%
To score in the 2nd half · Valencia
Yes
45%
No
55%
To score in the 2nd half · Rayo Vallecano
Yes
56%
No
44%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Head-to-head record
1
Rayo
4
Draws
0
Valencia
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | F/A | GD | Pts | W | D | L | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | 11 | 0 | 1 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | 10 | 0 | 2 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Atlético | 12 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 2 | WWWWL |
| 4 |  Betis | 12 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | 8 | 2 | 2 | WLDWW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 4 | WWWLW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 4 | DLWLD |
| 7 |  Athletic | 11 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | LWWDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5 | LDWLW |
| 9 |  Deportivo | 12 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 3 | LDLWD |
| 10 |  Racing | 12 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6 | DLWLW |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 3 | DWDLD |
| 12 |  Alavés | 12 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 5 | LLDLD |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | DLLWD |
| 14 |  Rayo | 11 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5 | DLWWL |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | LDLWL |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | LWLLD |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 5 | DWLLD |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 6 | DDWLL |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 20 |  Málaga | 12 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 7 | DLDLL |
QualificationRelegationP: PlayedW: WonD: DrawnL: LostF: Goals forA: Goals againstGD: Goal differencePts: Points
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
0 votes
Fri 20 Nov
Sat 21 Nov
Sevilla
Betis39/1928/115/4
Real Madrid
Celta Vigo1/56/111/1Sun 22 Nov
Barcelona
Villarreal4/1711/29/1FAQ
What time does Rayo Vallecano v Valencia start?
Rayo Vallecano v Valencia (LaLiga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November at 15:15 (UK time) at Estadio de Vallecas.
Where are Rayo Vallecano and Valencia in the table?
Rayo Vallecano are 14th on 12 points and Valencia 19th on 9.
Who is the favourite in Rayo Vallecano v Valencia?
The market favourite is Rayo Vallecano. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Rayo Vallecano 66 % and Valencia 34 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Rayo Vallecano and Valencia?
In their last 5 meetings: Rayo Vallecano won 1, Valencia won 0 and 4 ended level.
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Wed 9 Dec
Rayo0
Athletic0Sun 8 Nov
