Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07
Bundesliga
Who wins?
Leverkusen
73%
Draw
15%
Paderborn
11%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 3.5: 51% · pays 5/6 · Under 3.5: 49% · pays 10/11
Both teams to score: 56% · pays 2/3
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Scorely prediction
Scorely model + marketWinner
Leverkusen 57 % · pays 3/11
Both teams to score
Yes 61 % · pays 2/3
Value: we rate it above the odds
Goals
Under 3.5 53 % · pays 10/11
Value: we rate it above the odds
Confidence
Medium
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Winner hit rate across all leagues, last 30 days: 63% (147 games).
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Bayer Leverkusen host SC Paderborn 07 on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 14:30 (UK time) at BayArena in the Bundesliga.
Bayer Leverkusen sit 5th on 16 points.
SC Paderborn 07 sit 13th on 10 points.
Bayer Leverkusen have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches.
SC Paderborn 07 have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Bayer Leverkusen won 4, SC Paderborn 07 won 1, 0 drawn.
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 21 November 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
- Venue
- BayArena, Leverkusen
Odds movement
Opening → NowLeverkusen
3/14 → 4/17
+2.0%
Draw
11/2 → 5/1
−7.7%
Paderborn
7/1 → 7/1
=
Over 3.5: 10/13 → 5/6 +3.4% · Under 3.5: 18/19 → 10/11 −2.1%
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Leverkusen | X · Draw | 2 · Paderborn | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3/11 | 19/4 | 17/2 | 6.7% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/16 | 1/8 | 11/4 | 10.3% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/10 | 6/1 | 5.2% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/3 | 12/5 | 4.6% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/3 | 11/10 | 7.5% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Leverkusen +0.5 | Paderborn -0.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/16 | 14/5 | 20.7% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Bayer Leverkusen
69%
No goal
3%
SC Paderborn 07
28%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 2% |
| 1 | 10% |
| 2 | 16% |
| 3 | 21% |
| 4 | 19% |
| 5 | 15% |
| 6+ | 17% |
Total goals: odd/even
Odd
49%
Even
51%
Team total goals · Bayer Leverkusen
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Team total goals · Bayer Leverkusen
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Team total goals · Bayer Leverkusen
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Team total goals · Bayer Leverkusen
Over 4.5
19%
Under 4.5
81%
Team total goals · Bayer Leverkusen
Over 0.5
90%
Under 0.5
10%
Team total goals · Bayer Leverkusen
Over 5.5
11%
Under 5.5
89%
Team total goals · SC Paderborn 07
Over 1.5
27%
Under 1.5
73%
Team total goals · SC Paderborn 07
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
Team total goals · SC Paderborn 07
Over 0.5
59%
Under 0.5
41%
Exact team goals · Bayer Leverkusen
| 0 | 6% |
| 1 | 17% |
| 2 | 24% |
| 3 | 23% |
| 4+ | 31% |
Exact team goals · SC Paderborn 07
| 0 | 39% |
| 1 | 36% |
| 2 | 17% |
| 3 | 6% |
| 4+ | 2% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
25%
No
75%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
33%
No
67%
Clean sheet · Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
41%
No
59%
Clean sheet · SC Paderborn 07
Yes
9%
No
91%
1st half result
Bayer Leverkusen
56%
Draw
28%
SC Paderborn 07
16%
2nd half result
Bayer Leverkusen
60%
Draw
26%
SC Paderborn 07
15%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
49%
Under 1.5
51%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
80%
Under 0.5
20%
To score in the 1st half · Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
69%
No
31%
To score in the 1st half · SC Paderborn 07
Yes
36%
No
65%
To score in the 2nd half · Bayer Leverkusen
Yes
77%
No
23%
To score in the 2nd half · SC Paderborn 07
Yes
41%
No
59%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Bayer Leverkusen
SC Paderborn 07
Head-to-head record
4
Leverkusen
0
Draws
1
Paderborn
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | F/A | GD | Pts | W | D | L | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern | 9 | 29:9 | +20 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | DWWDW |
| 2 |  Dortmund | 9 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | DDWDW |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 9 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 2 | WLLWW |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | 27:13 | +14 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 3 | WLWWW |
| 5 |  Leverkusen | 9 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 3 | LWLLW |
| 6 |  Bremen | 9 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 2 | DDWWL |
| 7 |  Elversberg | 9 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4 | LWLWL |
| 8 |  Stuttgart | 9 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 | WLLWW |
| 9 |  Hoffenheim | 9 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 | LWWLW |
| 10 |  Frankfurt | 9 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | LWLWD |
| 11 |  Hamburg | 9 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 5 | WWLLW |
| 12 |  Mainz | 9 | 18:19 | -1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | LWLLL |
| 13 |  Paderborn | 9 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3 | WLDDW |
| 14 |  Augsburg | 9 | 20:20 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | DLDLL |
| 15 |  Cologne | 9 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | WLDDL |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | 7:21 | -14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 4 | WDDDL |
| 17 |  Schalke | 9 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 5 | LLDLL |
| 18 |  Gladbach | 9 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | LLWDL |
QualificationRelegationP: PlayedW: WonD: DrawnL: LostF: Goals forA: Goals againstGD: Goal differencePts: Points
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Double chance : Bayer Leverkusen or draw
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
0 votes
FAQ
What time does Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07 start?
Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07 (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 21 November at 14:30 (UK time) at BayArena.
Where are Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07 in the table?
Bayer Leverkusen are 5th on 16 points and SC Paderborn 07 13th on 10.
Who is the favourite in Bayer Leverkusen v SC Paderborn 07?
The market favourite is Bayer Leverkusen. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Bayer Leverkusen 87 % and SC Paderborn 07 13 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Bayer Leverkusen and SC Paderborn 07?
In their last 5 meetings: Bayer Leverkusen won 4, SC Paderborn 07 won 1 and 0 ended level.
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