Mainz v Bayern Munich
Who wins?
Mainz
18%
Draw
17%
Bayern
65%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 4.5: 43% · pays 6/5 · Under 4.5: 57% · pays 5/8
Both teams to score: 69% · pays 6/17
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Mainz host Bayern Munich on Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 14:30 (UK time) at MEWA ARENA in the Bundesliga.
Mainz sit 8th on 10 points.
Bayern Munich sit 1st on 17 points.
Mainz have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Bayern Munich have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Mainz won 1, Bayern Munich won 3, 1 drawn.
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 7 November 2026, 14:30 (UK time)
- Venue
- MEWA ARENA, Mainz
Odds movement
Opening → NowMainz
19/4 → 4/1
−13.0%
Draw
17/4 → 9/2
+4.8%
Bayern
6/17 → 7/17
+4.2%
Over 4.5: 6/5 → 6/5 = · Under 4.5: 10/17 → 5/8 +2.5%
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Mainz | X · Draw | 2 · Bayern | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 19/4 | 19/4 | 2/5 | 6.2% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 7/4 | 1/7 | 1/7 | 11.8% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/16 | 9/1 | 4.3% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/9 | 10/3 | 5.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/11 | 2/1 | 6.9% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Mainz -0.25 | Bayern +0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 17/4 | 3/11 | -2.2% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Mainz 0 | Bayern 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 62/17 | 2/11 | 6.3% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Mainz
35%
No goal
2%
Bayern Munich
63%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 2% |
| 1 | 7% |
| 2 | 13% |
| 3 | 18% |
| 4 | 20% |
| 5 | 16% |
| 6+ | 24% |
Team total goals · Bayern Munich
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Team total goals · Bayern Munich
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Team total goals · Bayern Munich
Over 3.5
34%
Under 3.5
67%
Team total goals · Bayern Munich
Over 4.5
19%
Under 4.5
81%
Team total goals · Bayern Munich
Over 0.5
90%
Under 0.5
10%
Team total goals · Bayern Munich
Over 5.5
11%
Under 5.5
89%
Team total goals · Mainz
Over 1.5
42%
Under 1.5
58%
Team total goals · Mainz
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
80%
Team total goals · Mainz
Over 3.5
10%
Under 3.5
90%
Team total goals · Mainz
Over 0.5
73%
Under 0.5
27%
Exact team goals · Mainz
| 0 | 25% |
| 1 | 34% |
| 2 | 24% |
| 3 | 12% |
| 4+ | 6% |
Exact team goals · Bayern Munich
| 0 | 7% |
| 1 | 16% |
| 2 | 24% |
| 3 | 23% |
| 4+ | 31% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
34%
No
66%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
44%
No
56%
Clean sheet · Bayern Munich
Yes
26%
No
74%
Clean sheet · Mainz
Yes
9%
No
91%
1st half result
Mainz
22%
Draw
28%
Bayern Munich
51%
2nd half result
Mainz
20%
Draw
26%
Bayern Munich
54%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
56%
Under 1.5
44%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
15%
Under 3.5
85%
1st half goals
Over 4.5
8%
Under 4.5
92%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
83%
Under 0.5
17%
To score in the 1st half · Bayern Munich
Yes
69%
No
31%
To score in the 1st half · Mainz
Yes
47%
No
53%
To score in the 2nd half · Bayern Munich
Yes
77%
No
23%
To score in the 2nd half · Mainz
Yes
54%
No
46%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Betting calculatorsConvert odds and work out implied probability, accumulators and arbs in seconds.Calculate →Last 5 matches
Mainz
Bayern Munich
Head-to-head record
1
Mainz
1
Draws
3
Bayern
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +19 | 17 | DWDWW |
| 2 |  Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 3 |  Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 | DWLLW |
| 4 |  Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | WWWLL |
| 5 |  Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | DLWLW |
| 6 |  RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +9 | 12 | LWLWW |
| 7 |  Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 12 | WDDWW |
| 8 |  Mainz | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | LWLLL |
| 9 |  Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 9 | LDLDL |
| 10 |  Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | LLWWL |
| 11 |  Hamburg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 |  Cologne | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 |  Paderborn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 | WLDWD |
| 14 |  Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -7 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 |  Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 6 | LWLLW |
| 16 |  Schalke | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | DLLDL |
| 17 |  Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -12 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 18 |  Gladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -11 | 3 | LLLWD |
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Combo Winner : Bayern München and +1.5 goals
Community vote
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Sat 31 Oct
Sun 1 Nov
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Sat 7 Nov
FAQ
What time does Mainz v Bayern Munich start?
Mainz v Bayern Munich (Bundesliga) kicks off on Saturday 7 November at 14:30 (UK time) at MEWA ARENA.
Where are Mainz and Bayern Munich in the table?
Mainz are 8th on 10 points and Bayern Munich 1st on 17.
Who is the favourite in Mainz v Bayern Munich?
The market favourite is Bayern Munich. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Mainz 18 %, the draw 17 % and Bayern Munich 65 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Mainz and Bayern Munich?
In their last 5 meetings: Mainz won 1, Bayern Munich won 3 and 1 ended in a draw.
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