Romania v Poland
UEFA Nations League
Who wins?
Romania
27%
Draw
26%
Poland
47%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 2.5: 54% · pays 14/19 · Under 2.5: 47% · pays 1/1
Both teams to score: 57% · pays 5/8
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Romania host Poland on Saturday, 14 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time) at National Arena in the Nations League.
Romania sit 4th on 0 points.
Poland sit 3rd on 4 points.
Romania have 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Poland have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Romania won 2, Poland won 3, 0 drawn.
- Competition
- UEFA Nations League
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 14 November 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
- Venue
- National Arena, Bucuresti
Odds movement
Opening → NowRomania
23/10 → 40/17
+1.5%
Draw
27/11 → 5/2
+1.4%
Poland
18/19 → 18/19
=
Over 2.5: 14/19 → 14/19 = · Under 2.5: 1/1 → 1/1 =
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
Match result (1X2)
Romania
27%
Draw
26%
Poland
47%
Double chance
1X · Romania or draw
54%
12 · Romania or Poland
73%
X2 · Draw or Poland
73%
First team to score
Romania
39%
No goal
8%
Poland
53%
Total goals
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
47%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 7% |
| 1 | 17% |
| 2 | 22% |
| 3 | 22% |
| 4 | 16% |
| 5 | 10% |
| 6+ | 7% |
Total goals: odd/even
Odd
49%
Even
51%
Team total goals · Poland
Over 1.5
49%
Under 1.5
51%
Team total goals · Poland
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
Team total goals · Poland
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
Team total goals · Poland
Over 0.5
79%
Under 0.5
21%
Team total goals · Romania
Over 1.5
35%
Under 1.5
65%
Team total goals · Romania
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
Team total goals · Romania
Over 0.5
69%
Under 0.5
31%
Exact team goals · Romania
| 0 | 29% |
| 1 | 36% |
| 2 | 22% |
| 3 | 9% |
| 4+ | 4% |
Exact team goals · Poland
| 0 | 18% |
| 1 | 32% |
| 2 | 27% |
| 3 | 14% |
| 4+ | 8% |
Both teams to score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
25%
No
75%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
32%
No
68%
Clean sheet · Poland
Yes
31%
No
69%
Clean sheet · Romania
Yes
20%
No
80%
Correct score
| 1-1 | 11% |
| 1-2 | 10% |
| 0-1 | 9% |
| 1-0 | 7% |
| 0-2 | 7% |
| 2-1 | 7% |
| 2-2 | 6% |
| 0-0 | 6% |
| 1-3 | 5% |
| 2-0 | 4% |
| 0-3 | 4% |
| 2-3 | 4% |
| 3-1 | 3% |
| 3-2 | 3% |
| 3-3 | 2% |
| 3-0 | 2% |
1st half result
Romania
24%
Draw
41%
Poland
36%
2nd half result
Romania
25%
Draw
36%
Poland
39%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
37%
Under 1.5
63%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
7%
Under 3.5
93%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
70%
Under 0.5
30%
To score in the 1st half · Poland
Yes
52%
No
48%
To score in the 1st half · Romania
Yes
43%
No
58%
To score in the 2nd half · Poland
Yes
60%
No
40%
To score in the 2nd half · Romania
Yes
49%
No
51%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Romania
Poland
Head-to-head record
2
Romania
0
Draws
3
Poland
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | F/A | GD | Pts | W | D | L | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sweden | 4 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | DW |
| 2 |  Bosnia-Herz | 4 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | DW |
| 3 |  Poland | 4 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | DDLWL |
| 4 |  Romania | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | WLLLL |
QualificationRelegationP: PlayedW: WonD: DrawnL: LostF: Goals forA: Goals againstGD: Goal differencePts: Points
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
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FAQ
What time does Romania v Poland start?
Romania v Poland (Nations League) kicks off on Saturday 14 November at 19:45 (UK time) at National Arena.
Where are Romania and Poland in the table?
Romania are 4th on 0 points and Poland 3rd on 4.
Who is the favourite in Romania v Poland?
The market favourite is Poland. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Romania 27 %, the draw 26 % and Poland 47 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Romania and Poland?
In their last 5 meetings: Romania won 2, Poland won 3 and 0 ended level.
Tue 6 Oct
Switzerland3
North Macedonia0
Scotland1
Slovenia2
Moldova0
Slovakia4
Luxembourg0
Bulgaria2
Estonia0
Iceland0
England3
Czechia0