Newcastle United v Arsenal
Premier League
Who wins?
Newcastle
18%
Draw
23%
Arsenal
60%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 2.5: 55% · pays 9/13 · Under 2.5: 45% · pays 11/10
Both teams to score: 55% · pays 5/7
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Scorely prediction
Scorely model + marketWinner
Arsenal 56 % · pays 10/17
Both teams to score
No 58 % · pays 20/19
Value: we rate it above the odds
Goals
Under 2.5 57 % · pays 11/10
Value: we rate it above the odds
Confidence
High
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Winner hit rate across all leagues, last 30 days: 62% (179 games).
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Newcastle United host Arsenal on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 17:30 (UK time) at St. James' Park in the Premier League.
Newcastle United sit 12th on 12 points.
Arsenal sit 1st on 27 points.
Newcastle United have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Arsenal have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Newcastle United won 1, Arsenal won 4, 0 drawn.
- Competition
- Premier League
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 21 November 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
- Venue
- St. James' Park, Newcastle-upon-Tyne
Preview in numbers
- United Kingdom time: 17:30 (UK time), Saturday 21 November 2026.
- Newcastle United have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats from their last 5.
- Arsenal have 4 wins and 1 defeat from their last 5.
- Arsenal sit 1st on 27 points and Newcastle United 12th on 12: 15 points apart.
- Their last meeting, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Arsenal 1-0 Newcastle United.
- The market gives Arsenal a 59% chance of winning (draw: 23%), margin removed.
Data: ESPN · votes and picks from Scorely users
Odds movement
Opening → NowNewcastle
4/1 → 17/4
+5.0%
Draw
31/10 → 16/5
+2.4%
Arsenal
10/17 → 10/17
=
Over 2.5: 9/13 → 9/13 = · Under 2.5: 11/10 → 11/10 =
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Newcastle | X · Draw | 2 · Arsenal | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 19/4 | 16/5 | 8/15 | 6.6% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 13/10 | 2/9 | 1/7 | 13.2% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/4 | 3/1 | 5.0% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 8/11 | 11/10 | 5.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/5 | 18/19 | 6.8% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Newcastle 0 | Arsenal 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 31/10 | 3/13 | 5.7% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Newcastle +0.25 | Arsenal -0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 24/13 | 3/16 | 19.1% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Newcastle United
31%
No goal
7%
Arsenal
62%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 6% |
| 1 | 16% |
| 2 | 22% |
| 3 | 22% |
| 4 | 16% |
| 5 | 10% |
| 6+ | 8% |
Team total goals · Arsenal
Over 1.5
58%
Under 1.5
42%
Team total goals · Arsenal
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
Team total goals · Arsenal
Over 3.5
17%
Under 3.5
84%
Team total goals · Arsenal
Over 0.5
83%
Under 0.5
17%
Team total goals · Newcastle United
Over 1.5
28%
Under 1.5
72%
Team total goals · Newcastle United
Over 2.5
11%
Under 2.5
89%
Team total goals · Newcastle United
Over 0.5
61%
Under 0.5
39%
Exact team goals · Newcastle United
| 0 | 37% |
| 1 | 37% |
| 2 | 18% |
| 3 | 6% |
| 4+ | 2% |
Exact team goals · Arsenal
| 0 | 13% |
| 1 | 28% |
| 2 | 28% |
| 3 | 18% |
| 4+ | 13% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
22%
No
78%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
29%
No
71%
Clean sheet · Arsenal
Yes
38%
No
62%
Clean sheet · Newcastle United
Yes
16%
No
84%
Correct score
| 0-1 | 10% |
| 1-2 | 10% |
| 0-2 | 10% |
| 1-1 | 10% |
| 0-3 | 6% |
| 1-3 | 6% |
| 2-2 | 5% |
| 1-0 | 5% |
| 2-1 | 5% |
| 0-0 | 5% |
| 2-3 | 4% |
| 2-0 | 2% |
| 3-2 | 2% |
| 3-1 | 2% |
| 3-3 | 2% |
| 3-0 | 1% |
1st half result
Newcastle United
18%
Draw
38%
Arsenal
44%
2nd half result
Newcastle United
19%
Draw
34%
Arsenal
47%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
38%
Under 1.5
62%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
8%
Under 3.5
92%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
71%
Under 0.5
29%
To score in the 1st half · Arsenal
Yes
58%
No
42%
To score in the 1st half · Newcastle United
Yes
36%
No
64%
To score in the 2nd half · Arsenal
Yes
65%
No
35%
To score in the 2nd half · Newcastle United
Yes
42%
No
58%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Today's newsThe latest from your leagues: newsroom stories and today's headlines.Read news ›Last 5 matches
Newcastle United
Arsenal
Head-to-head record
1
Newcastle
0
Draws
4
Arsenal
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | F/A | GD | Pts | W | D | L | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | WLWWW |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 2 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Man City | 10 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | LWWWW |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | DLDWL |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | LDDLW |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | DWWDD |
| 11 |  Spurs | 10 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWWWL |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | LWLLD |
| 13 |  Hull | 10 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | LWWDD |
| 16 |  Nottm Forest | 10 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 7 | WLLWL |
| 18 |  Man Utd | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | DDLLD |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | LLDLW |
| 20 |  C Palace | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | WLLLL |
QualificationRelegationP: PlayedW: WonD: DrawnL: LostF: Goals forA: Goals againstGD: Goal differencePts: Points
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Arsenal and -3.5 goals
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
0 votes
FAQ
What time does Newcastle United v Arsenal start?
Newcastle United v Arsenal (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November at 17:30 (UK time) at St. James' Park.
Where are Newcastle United and Arsenal in the table?
Newcastle United are 12th on 12 points and Arsenal 1st on 27.
Who is the favourite in Newcastle United v Arsenal?
The market favourite is Arsenal. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Newcastle United 23 % and Arsenal 77 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Newcastle United and Arsenal?
In their last 5 meetings: Newcastle United won 1, Arsenal won 4 and 0 ended level.
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