Chelsea v Leeds United
Premier League
Who wins?
Chelsea
50%
Draw
26%
Leeds
24%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 2.5: 54% · pays 14/19 · Under 2.5: 46% · pays 20/19
Both teams to score: 57% · pays 11/17
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Scorely prediction
Scorely model + marketWinner
Chelsea 50 % · pays 7/8
Both teams to score
No 53 % · pays 15/13
Value: we rate it above the odds
Goals
Under 2.5 55 % · pays 20/19
Value: we rate it above the odds
Confidence
Medium
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Winner hit rate across all leagues, last 30 days: 63% (147 games).
18+ · Play responsibly.
Chelsea host Leeds United on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 15:00 (UK time) at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League.
Chelsea sit 5th on 16 points.
Leeds United sit 9th on 14 points.
Chelsea have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Leeds United have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Chelsea won 3, Leeds United won 1, 1 drawn.
- Competition
- Premier League
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 21 November 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
- Venue
- Stamford Bridge, London
Preview in numbers
- United Kingdom time: 15:00 (UK time), Saturday 21 November 2026.
- Chelsea have 2 wins and 3 defeats from their last 5.
- Leeds United are without a win in 4.
- Chelsea sit 5th on 16 points and Leeds United 9th on 14: 2 points apart.
- Their last meeting, on 9 Sept 2026, finished Chelsea 6-3 Leeds United.
- The market gives Chelsea a 50% chance of winning (draw: 25%), margin removed.
Data: ESPN · votes and picks from Scorely users
Odds movement
Opening → NowChelsea
5/6 → 7/8
+2.0%
Draw
27/10 → 27/10
=
Leeds
56/19 → 29/10
−1.3%
Over 2.5: 5/7 → 14/19 +1.8% · Under 2.5: 1/1 → 20/19 +2.5%
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Chelsea | X · Draw | 2 · Leeds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 11/13 | 13/5 | 29/10 | 7.5% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/9 | 5/18 | 18/19 | 11.4% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/9 | 10/3 | 5.1% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 8/11 | 11/10 | 5.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/3 | 11/10 | 7.5% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Chelsea 0 | Leeds 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 6/17 | 21/10 | 6.3% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Chelsea +0.25 | Leeds -0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3/11 | 23/17 | 21.3% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Chelsea
55%
No goal
8%
Leeds United
37%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 7% |
| 1 | 17% |
| 2 | 23% |
| 3 | 22% |
| 4 | 16% |
| 5 | 10% |
| 6+ | 7% |
Team total goals · Leeds United
Over 1.5
33%
Under 1.5
67%
Team total goals · Leeds United
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
Team total goals · Leeds United
Over 0.5
67%
Under 0.5
33%
Team total goals · Chelsea
Over 1.5
51%
Under 1.5
49%
Team total goals · Chelsea
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
Team total goals · Chelsea
Over 3.5
13%
Under 3.5
87%
Team total goals · Chelsea
Over 0.5
80%
Under 0.5
20%
Exact team goals · Chelsea
| 0 | 17% |
| 1 | 31% |
| 2 | 27% |
| 3 | 16% |
| 4+ | 10% |
Exact team goals · Leeds United
| 0 | 31% |
| 1 | 36% |
| 2 | 21% |
| 3 | 8% |
| 4+ | 3% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
23%
No
77%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
31%
No
69%
Clean sheet · Leeds United
Yes
19%
No
81%
Clean sheet · Chelsea
Yes
33%
No
67%
Correct score
| 1-1 | 11% |
| 1-0 | 10% |
| 2-1 | 10% |
| 2-0 | 8% |
| 0-1 | 6% |
| 1-2 | 6% |
| 2-2 | 6% |
| 3-1 | 6% |
| 0-0 | 6% |
| 3-0 | 5% |
| 3-2 | 4% |
| 0-2 | 3% |
| 1-3 | 3% |
| 2-3 | 3% |
| 3-3 | 2% |
| 0-3 | 1% |
1st half result
Chelsea
38%
Draw
40%
Leeds United
22%
2nd half result
Chelsea
40%
Draw
36%
Leeds United
24%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
37%
Under 1.5
63%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
7%
Under 3.5
93%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
70%
Under 0.5
30%
To score in the 1st half · Leeds United
Yes
40%
No
60%
To score in the 1st half · Chelsea
Yes
53%
No
47%
To score in the 2nd half · Leeds United
Yes
47%
No
53%
To score in the 2nd half · Chelsea
Yes
61%
No
39%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Chelsea
Leeds United
Head-to-head record
3
Chelsea
1
Draws
1
Leeds
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | F/A | GD | Pts | W | D | L | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 2 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Man City | 10 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WLLWL |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | LWWWW |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | DLDWL |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | LDDLW |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | DWWDD |
| 11 |  Spurs | 10 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWWWL |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Hull | 10 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | LWWDD |
| 16 |  Nottm Forest | 10 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 7 | WLLWL |
| 18 |  Man Utd | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | DDLLD |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | LLDLW |
| 20 |  C Palace | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | WLLLL |
QualificationRelegationP: PlayedW: WonD: DrawnL: LostF: Goals forA: Goals againstGD: Goal differencePts: Points
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Double chance : Chelsea or draw
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
0 votes
FAQ
What time does Chelsea v Leeds United start?
Chelsea v Leeds United (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November at 15:00 (UK time) at Stamford Bridge.
Where are Chelsea and Leeds United in the table?
Chelsea are 5th on 16 points and Leeds United 9th on 14.
Who is the favourite in Chelsea v Leeds United?
The market favourite is Chelsea. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Chelsea 68 % and Leeds United 32 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Chelsea and Leeds United?
In their last 5 meetings: Chelsea won 3, Leeds United won 1 and 1 ended in a draw.
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