Aston Villa v Sunderland
Premier League
Who wins?
Aston Villa
54%
Draw
25%
Sunderland
21%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 2.5: 54% · pays 14/19 · Under 2.5: 46% · pays 20/19
Both teams to score: 55% · pays 9/13
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Scorely prediction
Scorely model + marketWinner
Aston Villa 52 % · pays 14/19
Both teams to score
Yes 54 % · pays 9/13
Goals
Over 2.5 52 % · pays 14/19
Confidence
Medium
No value: the market already prices it fairly
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Winner hit rate across all leagues, last 30 days: 63% (147 games).
18+ · Play responsibly.
Aston Villa host Sunderland on Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 15:00 (UK time) at Villa Park in the Premier League.
Aston Villa sit 10th on 13 points.
Sunderland sit 19th on 8 points.
Aston Villa have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Sunderland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Aston Villa won 3, Sunderland won 1, 1 drawn.
- Competition
- Premier League
- Kick-off
- Saturday, 21 November 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
- Venue
- Villa Park, Birmingham
Preview in numbers
- United Kingdom time: 15:00 (UK time), Saturday 21 November 2026.
- Aston Villa have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5.
- Sunderland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats from their last 5.
- Aston Villa sit 10th on 13 points and Sunderland 19th on 8: 5 points apart.
- Their last meeting, on 19 Apr 2026, finished Aston Villa 4-3 Sunderland.
- The market gives Aston Villa a 54% chance of winning (draw: 24%), margin removed.
Data: ESPN · votes and picks from Scorely users
Odds movement
Opening → NowAston Villa
14/19 → 14/19
=
Draw
14/5 → 37/13
+1.3%
Sunderland
33/10 → 17/5
+2.3%
Over 2.5: 5/7 → 14/19 +1.8% · Under 2.5: 20/19 → 20/19 =
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Aston Villa | X · Draw | 2 · Sunderland | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 8/11 | 27/10 | 7/2 | 7.1% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/11 | 1/4 | 11/10 | 12.4% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2/9 | 10/3 | 5.1% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 8/11 | 11/10 | 5.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 7/10 | 20/19 | 7.6% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Aston Villa 0 | Sunderland 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 3/10 | 27/11 | 5.9% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Aston Villa +0.25 | Sunderland -0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/17 | 3/2 | 20.6% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Aston Villa
58%
No goal
8%
Sunderland
34%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 7% |
| 1 | 16% |
| 2 | 23% |
| 3 | 22% |
| 4 | 16% |
| 5 | 10% |
| 6+ | 7% |
Team total goals · Aston Villa
Over 1.5
53%
Under 1.5
47%
Team total goals · Aston Villa
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
72%
Team total goals · Aston Villa
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
Team total goals · Aston Villa
Over 0.5
81%
Under 0.5
19%
Team total goals · Sunderland
Over 1.5
30%
Under 1.5
70%
Team total goals · Sunderland
Over 2.5
13%
Under 2.5
88%
Team total goals · Sunderland
Over 0.5
64%
Under 0.5
36%
Exact team goals · Aston Villa
| 0 | 16% |
| 1 | 30% |
| 2 | 28% |
| 3 | 16% |
| 4+ | 11% |
Exact team goals · Sunderland
| 0 | 34% |
| 1 | 37% |
| 2 | 20% |
| 3 | 7% |
| 4+ | 3% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
22%
No
79%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
30%
No
70%
Clean sheet · Aston Villa
Yes
35%
No
65%
Clean sheet · Sunderland
Yes
18%
No
82%
Correct score
| 1-1 | 10% |
| 1-0 | 10% |
| 2-1 | 10% |
| 2-0 | 9% |
| 0-1 | 6% |
| 1-2 | 6% |
| 3-1 | 6% |
| 0-0 | 6% |
| 2-2 | 6% |
| 3-0 | 5% |
| 3-2 | 4% |
| 0-2 | 3% |
| 1-3 | 2% |
| 2-3 | 2% |
| 3-3 | 2% |
| 0-3 | 1% |
1st half result
Aston Villa
41%
Draw
39%
Sunderland
20%
2nd half result
Aston Villa
43%
Draw
35%
Sunderland
22%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
36%
Under 1.5
64%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
16%
Under 2.5
84%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
7%
Under 3.5
93%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
70%
Under 0.5
30%
To score in the 1st half · Aston Villa
Yes
55%
No
45%
To score in the 1st half · Sunderland
Yes
38%
No
62%
To score in the 2nd half · Aston Villa
Yes
63%
No
37%
To score in the 2nd half · Sunderland
Yes
45%
No
55%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
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Aston Villa
Sunderland
Head-to-head record
3
Aston Villa
1
Draws
1
Sunderland
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | F/A | GD | Pts | W | D | L | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 10 | 15:5 | +10 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 1 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  Brighton | 10 | 26:7 | +19 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 2 | WWLWW |
| 3 |  Man City | 10 | 21:13 | +8 | 21 | 7 | 0 | 3 | WWLLL |
| 4 |  Liverpool | 10 | 14:10 | +4 | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | LWWLW |
| 5 |  Chelsea | 10 | 19:16 | +3 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 4 | WWLWL |
| 6 |  Everton | 10 | 12:10 | +2 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | DLLWW |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 10 | 16:14 | +2 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 3 | LWWWW |
| 8 |  Brentford | 10 | 16:11 | +5 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | DLDWL |
| 9 |  Leeds | 10 | 10:8 | +2 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 2 | LDDLW |
| 10 |  Aston Villa | 10 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 3 | WLDLD |
| 11 |  Spurs | 10 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | DWWWL |
| 12 |  Newcastle | 10 | 13:16 | -3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4 | LLWLD |
| 13 |  Hull | 10 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 3 | DLDDL |
| 14 |  Ipswich | 10 | 15:20 | -5 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 5 | WLDDL |
| 15 |  Fulham | 10 | 10:12 | -2 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | LWWDD |
| 16 |  Nottm Forest | 10 | 9:13 | -4 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | LLDLW |
| 17 |  Coventry | 10 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 7 | WLLWL |
| 18 |  Man Utd | 10 | 14:19 | -5 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 4 | DDLLD |
| 19 |  Sunderland | 10 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 6 | DWLLW |
| 20 |  C Palace | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | WLLLL |
QualificationRelegationP: PlayedW: WonD: DrawnL: LostF: Goals forA: Goals againstGD: Goal differencePts: Points
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Winner : Aston Villa
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
0 votes
FAQ
What time does Aston Villa v Sunderland start?
Aston Villa v Sunderland (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 21 November at 15:00 (UK time) at Villa Park.
Where are Aston Villa and Sunderland in the table?
Aston Villa are 10th on 13 points and Sunderland 19th on 8.
Who is the favourite in Aston Villa v Sunderland?
The market favourite is Aston Villa. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Aston Villa 72 % and Sunderland 28 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Aston Villa and Sunderland?
In their last 5 meetings: Aston Villa won 3, Sunderland won 1 and 1 ended in a draw.
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