Liverpool v Chelsea
Who wins?
Liverpool
36%
Draw
25%
Chelsea
39%
Expected goals
Over 3.5: 44% · Under 3.5: 56%
Both teams to score: 68%
Market probability with the margin removed (not odds and not betting advice). 18+
Liverpool host Chelsea on Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time) at Anfield in the Carabao Cup.
Liverpool have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches.
Chelsea have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Liverpool won 2, Chelsea won 2, 1 drawn.
- Competition
- Carabao Cup (EFL Cup)
- Kick-off
- Wednesday, 28 October 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
- Venue
- Anfield, Liverpool
Tie · Round 4
Full bracket →Liverpool
Chelsea
- One-off match28 Oct 2026Liverpool20:00Chelsea
Odds movement
Opening → NowLiverpool
17/11 → 16/11
−3.9%
Draw
40/17 → 13/5
+7.5%
Chelsea
16/11 → 16/11
=
ESPN opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Liverpool | X · Draw | 2 · Chelsea | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 7/4 | 11/4 | 13/10 | 6.5% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/7 | 1/4 | 2/5 | 15.1% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/7 | 9/2 | 5.9% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1/2 | 3/2 | 6.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4/9 | 13/8 | 7.6% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Liverpool 0 | Chelsea 0 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 11/10 | 7/10 | 6.4% |
Asian handicap
| Bookmaker | Liverpool +0.25 | Chelsea -0.25 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 9/11 | 6/11 | 19.5% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). 18+ · Gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: Bet365 (Gambling Commission · 055148-R-331498-002)
Market probability
First team to score
Liverpool
46%
No goal
5%
Chelsea
49%
Exact total goals
| 0 | 4% |
| 1 | 12% |
| 2 | 19% |
| 3 | 21% |
| 4 | 18% |
| 5 | 13% |
| 6+ | 13% |
Team total goals · Chelsea
Over 1.5
52%
Under 1.5
48%
Team total goals · Chelsea
Over 2.5
27%
Under 2.5
73%
Team total goals · Chelsea
Over 3.5
13%
Under 3.5
87%
Team total goals · Chelsea
Over 0.5
80%
Under 0.5
20%
Team total goals · Liverpool
Over 1.5
49%
Under 1.5
51%
Team total goals · Liverpool
Over 2.5
25%
Under 2.5
75%
Team total goals · Liverpool
Over 3.5
12%
Under 3.5
88%
Team total goals · Liverpool
Over 0.5
79%
Under 0.5
22%
Exact team goals · Liverpool
| 0 | 18% |
| 1 | 32% |
| 2 | 27% |
| 3 | 15% |
| 4+ | 8% |
Exact team goals · Chelsea
| 0 | 17% |
| 1 | 31% |
| 2 | 27% |
| 3 | 16% |
| 4+ | 10% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
30%
No
70%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
39%
No
61%
Clean sheet · Chelsea
Yes
20%
No
80%
Clean sheet · Liverpool
Yes
19%
No
81%
Correct score
| 1-1 | 9% |
| 2-1 | 8% |
| 1-2 | 8% |
| 2-2 | 7% |
| 0-1 | 6% |
| 1-0 | 5% |
| 0-2 | 5% |
| 1-3 | 5% |
| 2-3 | 4% |
| 2-0 | 4% |
| 3-1 | 4% |
| 3-2 | 4% |
| 0-0 | 4% |
| 0-3 | 3% |
| 3-3 | 3% |
| 3-0 | 2% |
1st half result
Liverpool
30%
Draw
37%
Chelsea
33%
2nd half result
Liverpool
32%
Draw
34%
Chelsea
35%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
45%
Under 1.5
55%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
21%
Under 2.5
79%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
10%
Under 3.5
90%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
76%
Under 0.5
24%
To score in the 1st half · Chelsea
Yes
54%
No
46%
To score in the 1st half · Liverpool
Yes
52%
No
48%
To score in the 2nd half · Chelsea
Yes
62%
No
38%
To score in the 2nd half · Liverpool
Yes
59%
No
41%
Probability estimated from the market, margin removed. Not odds and not an invitation to bet. Market data via ESPN. 18+
Last 5 matches
Liverpool
Chelsea
Head-to-head record
2
Liverpool
1
Draws
2
Chelsea
Last meetings
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Chelsea and +1.5 goals
Community vote
Who wins? Vote and earn points.
0 votes
FAQ
What time does Liverpool v Chelsea start?
Liverpool v Chelsea (Carabao Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October at 20:00 (UK time) at Anfield.
Who is the favourite in Liverpool v Chelsea?
The market has no clear favourite. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Liverpool 37 %, the draw 25 % and Chelsea 37 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Liverpool and Chelsea?
In their last 5 meetings: Liverpool won 2, Chelsea won 2 and 1 ended in a draw.
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