Pachuca vs Toluca
Liga MX
Who wins?
Pachuca
33%
Draw
24%
Toluca
43%
Scorely predictions
Expected goals
Over 3.5: 45% · pays +105 · Under 3.5: 55% · pays -154
Both teams to score: 67% · pays -270
No-margin probability and reference market payout, via ESPN. Not betting advice. 18+
Scorely prediction
Scorely model + marketWinner
Toluca 38 % · pays +115
Both teams to score
Yes 66 % · pays -270
Goals
Under 3.5 57 % · pays -154
Confidence
Low
No value: the market already prices it fairly
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Winner hit rate across all leagues, last 30 days: 63% (234 games).
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Pachuca host Toluca on Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 5:50 PM (ET) at Estadio Hidalgo in Liga MX.
Pachuca sit 8th on 22 points.
Toluca sit 4th on 27 points.
Pachuca have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Toluca have 1 win, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches.
Last 5 meetings: Pachuca won 2, Toluca won 1, 2 drawn.
- Competition
- Liga MX
- Start time
- Saturday, November 21, 2026, 5:50 PM (ET)
- Venue
- Estadio Hidalgo, Pachuca
Odds movement
Opening → NowPachuca
+180 → +180
=
Draw
+290 → +290
=
Toluca
+115 → +115
=
Over 3.5: +105 → +105 = · Under 3.5: -154 → -154 =
DraftKings opening and current prices published by ESPN. 18+
Odds comparison
Match result (1X2)
| Bookmaker | 1 · Pachuca | X · Draw | 2 · Toluca | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +180 | +290 | +115 | 7.9% |
Double chance
| Bookmaker | 1X | 12 | X2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -164 | -455 | -263 | 16.5% |
Total goals
| Bookmaker | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | +105 | -154 | 9.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -270 | +180 | 8.7% |
Indicative odds that move until kick-off. The best price in each column is highlighted. Margin = the bookmaker's cut (sum of implied probabilities − 100%). Arrow: move since opening. 18+
Licensed bookmakers in this edition: DraftKings (State regulators (NJ DGE, PA PGCB and others)) · Bet365 (NJ Division of Gaming Enforcement; Pennsylvania Gaming Control Board)
Match odds
First team to score
Pachuca
-105
44%
No goal
+1600
5%
Toluca
-145
51%
To win by 2+ goals
Toluca
+280
Pachuca
+425
To win both halves
Toluca
+500
Pachuca
+850
To win from behind
Toluca
+700
Pachuca
+850
Exact total goals
| 0 | +2200 | 4% |
| 1 | +600 | 12% |
| 2 | +370 | 18% |
| 3 | +295 | 22% |
| 4 | +370 | 18% |
| 5 | +550 | 13% |
| 6+ | +550 | 13% |
Total goals: odd/even
Odd
-115
49%
Even
-125
51%
Team total goals · Toluca
Over 1.5
-154
55%
Under 1.5
-102
46%
Team total goals · Toluca
Over 2.5
+203
30%
Under 2.5
-357
70%
Team total goals · Toluca
Over 3.5
+507
15%
Under 3.5
-1667
85%
Team total goals · Toluca
Over 0.5
-909
81%
Under 0.5
+372
19%
Team total goals · Pachuca
Over 1.5
-112
48%
Under 1.5
-141
53%
Team total goals · Pachuca
Over 2.5
+275
24%
Under 2.5
-556
76%
Team total goals · Pachuca
Over 3.5
+660
12%
Under 3.5
-5000
88%
Team total goals · Pachuca
Over 0.5
-588
77%
Under 0.5
+288
23%
Exact team goals · Pachuca
| 0 | +295 | 20% |
| 1 | +140 | 32% |
| 2 | +195 | 26% |
| 3 | +450 | 14% |
| 4+ | +900 | 8% |
Exact team goals · Toluca
| 0 | +400 | 15% |
| 1 | +165 | 29% |
| 2 | +180 | 28% |
| 3 | +360 | 17% |
| 4+ | +600 | 11% |
Both teams to score: 1st half
Yes
+180
31%
No
-385
69%
Both teams to score: 2nd half
Yes
+125
39%
No
-238
61%
Clean sheet · Toluca
Yes
+310
22%
No
-588
78%
Clean sheet · Pachuca
Yes
+400
18%
No
-1000
82%
Correct score
| 1-1 | +750 | 9% |
| 1-2 | +800 | 8% |
| 2-1 | +900 | 8% |
| 2-2 | +1000 | 7% |
| 0-1 | +1200 | 6% |
| 1-0 | +1400 | 5% |
| 0-2 | +1400 | 5% |
| 1-3 | +1400 | 5% |
| 2-3 | +1500 | 5% |
| 3-2 | +1800 | 4% |
| 2-0 | +1900 | 4% |
| 3-1 | +1900 | 4% |
| 0-3 | +2200 | 3% |
| 0-0 | +2200 | 3% |
| 3-3 | +2800 | 3% |
| 3-0 | +3500 | 2% |
2nd half result
Pachuca
+195
30%
Draw
+165
33%
Toluca
+135
37%
1st half goals
Over 1.5
+100
46%
Under 1.5
-149
55%
1st half goals
Over 2.5
+297
23%
Under 2.5
-556
77%
1st half goals
Over 3.5
+720
11%
Under 3.5
-5000
89%
1st half goals
Over 0.5
-500
76%
Under 0.5
+276
24%
To score in the 1st half · Toluca
Yes
-159
56%
No
+105
44%
To score in the 1st half · Pachuca
Yes
-130
51%
No
-120
49%
To score in the 2nd half · Toluca
Yes
-227
63%
No
+145
37%
To score in the 2nd half · Pachuca
Yes
-169
57%
No
+110
43%
DraftKings odds published by ESPN. No-margin probability: proportional normalisation of the market. Odds are indicative and move until kick-off. 18+ only.
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Today's newsThe latest from your leagues: newsroom stories and today's headlines.Read news ›Last 5 games
Pachuca
Toluca
Head-to-head record
2
Pachuca
2
Draws
1
Toluca
Last meetings
| # | Team | P | F/A | GD | Pts | W | D | L | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | 10 | 2 | 4 | WWWWW |
| 2 |  América | 16 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 2 | WLDDD |
| 3 |  Guadalajara | 16 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 2 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 3 | DDDDW |
| 5 |  Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 5 | WLWWL |
| 6 |  Santos | 16 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 7 | WWLWW |
| 7 |  León | 16 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 5 | LWDLD |
| 8 |  Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 6 | LLWWW |
| 9 |  Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 4 | DWDDL |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 6 | WWLDL |
| 11 |  UNAM | 16 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 5 | WLDWD |
| 12 |  Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 7 | LLLLL |
| 13 |  Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 7 | DLLLW |
| 14 |  Atl. San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 7 | DWWLL |
| 15 |  Tigres | 16 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 7 | DLDLL |
| 16 |  Atlante | 16 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 8 | LWLLL |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 9 | LLDLW |
| 18 |  Juárez | 16 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 11 | LLDWW |
QualificationP: PlayedW: WonD: DrawnL: LostF: Goals forA: Goals againstGD: Goal differencePts: Points
Statistical prediction
API-Football
Advice: Double chance : CF Pachuca or draw
Community vote
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Fri, Nov 20
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MonterreyFAQ
What time does Pachuca vs Toluca start?
Pachuca vs Toluca (Liga MX) starts on Saturday, November 21 at 5:50 PM (ET) at Estadio Hidalgo.
Where are Pachuca and Toluca in the table?
Pachuca are 8th on 22 points and Toluca 4th on 27.
Who is the favorite in Pachuca vs Toluca?
The market favorite is Toluca. Probability without the bookmaker margin: Pachuca 43 % and Toluca 57 %. It is indicative and moves until the start.
What is the head-to-head record between Pachuca and Toluca?
In their last 5 meetings: Pachuca won 2, Toluca won 1 and 2 ended level.
